Canadian Dollar Continues Rally on Higher Auto Sales

The  Canadian dollar is continuing its tear on  Tuesday as  the  loonie was lifted against major currency rivals on  strong automobile sales. The  dollar’s gains were capped by  disappointing manufacturing numbers, which could signal a  cooling economy. Investors will now look ahead to  inflation and  retail receipts this week.

According to  Statistics Canada, new motor vehicle sales surged to  124,058 units in  February, up from 111,917 units in  January. This beats the  market forecast of  116,000. The  last time car sales eclipsed the  200,000-mark was in  June 2018.
The stats agency also reported that manufacturing sales slipped 0.2% in February to $56.6 billion. The sector was ostensibly affected by motor vehicle assembly and wood products industries sliding 4.4% and 5.9%, respectively. Economists did not anticipate any change for February. When you exclude car sales from the equation, then manufacturing sales were up 0.2%.
On  the  data front, investors will look ahead to  the  inflation rate on  Wednesday and  retail sales on  Thursday.
Business confidence is at  its lowest level in  three years, says a  new Bank of  Canada (BOC) study. The  central bank’s first-quarter survey of  executives found lower projections for  sales, as  well as  a  steep drop in  the  number of  businesses reporting labor shortages. The  BOC’s composite measurement of  sentiment turned negative and  slumped to  its worst point since 2016.
The  BOC cited a  slowing global economy and  growing trade tensions for  sliding private sector confidence.

The  main headwinds are a  more uncertain outlook in  the  Western Canadian energy sector, continued weakness in  housing-related activity in  some regions, and  tangible impacts from global trade tensions.

BOC Governor Stephen Poloz takes a  lot of  stock into the  survey, using it as  a  gauge for  policy decisions moving forward. The  report will likely be caused at  the  next policy meeting on  April 24, where it is widely expected that the  Ottawa-based central bank will not raise interest rates.
In  energy markets, May West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures rose $0.22, or  0.35%, to  $63.63 per barrel on  the  New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil remains one of  Canada’s biggest exports, so the  country’s economy is sensitive to  price swings.
The  USD/CAD currency pair decreased 0.11% to  1.3353, from an  opening of  1.3369, at  16:10 GMT on  Tuesday. The  EUR/CAD plunged 0.26% to  1.5071, from an  opening of  1.5111.

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