Euro Falls on Rising US-German Yield Spread and Weak German IFO

The  euro today fell for  the  second straight session against the  US dollar as  the  German business climate deteriorated more than expected. The  EUR/USD currency pair’s decline was further accelerated by  the  risk-off market sentiment triggered by  falling equity indices earlier today.
The EUR/USD currency pair today fell from a session high of 1.1224 to hit a low of 1.1180 in the early American session before heading lower at the time of writing.
The  currency pair opened today’s session with a  bearish bias and  was in  the  red for  most of  the  Asian session. The  pair rallied briefly in  the  early European session before dropping lower following the  release of  the  weak German IFO business climate data. The  IFO business climate print came in  at  99.2 versus the  expected 99.9 figure, while the  expectations print was recorded at  95.2 as  compared to  the  consensus estimate of  96.0. The  pair’s decline was further accelerated by  the  falling 10-year German bund yields, which slipped into negative territory to  create a  254 basis point gap with 10-year US Treasury yields.
The  single currency was also overwhelmed by  the  much stronger greenback as  tracked by  the  US Dollar Index, which hit a  high of  97.84 today. The  likelihood of  President Donald Trump imposing new tariffs on  EU exports further weighed on  the  currency pair.
The  currency pair’s future performance is likely to  be affected by  tomorrow’s US durable goods orders and  geopolitical events given the  empty European docket.
The EUR/USD currency pair was trading at 1.1161 as at 16:39 GMT having fallen from a high of 1.1224. The EUR/JPY currency pair was trading at 124.90 having dropped from a high of 125.59.

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