Euro Extends Decline Driven by Weak Growth Forecasts and Data

The  euro today extended its decline against the  US dollar as  investors reacted to  more disappointing releases from Germany, which is the  EU’s largest economy. The  divergence in  economic growth trajectories between the  US and  the  EU continues to  weigh on  investor sentiment towards the  EUR/USD currency pair affecting its performance.
The  EUR/USD currency pair today fell from an  opening high of  1.1368 to  hit a  low of  1.1330 in  the mid-European session.
The  currency pair traded in  a  tight range during the  Asian session before heading lower in  the  European session as  the  selling pressure intensified. The  release of  the  German industrial production data for  December contributed to  the  pair’s decline as  the  print missed expectations. According to  the  Federal Statistical Office, German industrial production fell by  0.4%, which was a  large decline as  compared to  the  expected 0.8% expansion. The annual print also missed expectations by  0.6%. The  release of  the  European Central Bank‘s economic bulletin later also drove the  pair lower despite markets generally ignoring the  report.
The  selling pressure on  the  euro increased when the  European Commission published its Winter 2019 interim economic growth forecasts. The  report cut the  overall GDP growth forecast for  the  eurozone from 1.9% to  1.3%, while Italy’s economic growth was downgraded to  just 0.2% from the  original 1.2% projection. Germany’s forecast was also trimmed from 1.8% to  1.1%.
The  currency pair’s future performance is likely to  be affected by  the  release of  the  US initial jobless claims report later today and by investor sentiment.
The  EUR/USD currency pair was trading at  1.1334 as  at  11:07 GMT having fallen from a  high of  1.1368. The  EUR/JPY currency pair was trading at  124.54 having dropped from a  high of  125.07.

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